4/12: New York: Trump & Well-Positioned for Big Wins

In the contest for the Republican presidential nomination in New York, businessman Donald Trump is favored by 54% of New York’s likely Republican primary voters.  If he can hold on to a majority of Republican support in the state, the April 19th contest could give him the lion’s share of New York’s delegates.  Ohio Governor […]

4/7: Delegate Front-Runners, Clinton and Trump, Benefit from Each Other

Registered voters nationally are motivated more by dislike for the other candidate than positive feelings for their candidate of choice in a general election contest between the Democratic and Republican delegate leaders, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and businessman Donald Trump.  In a hypothetical tossup between Clinton and Trump, Clinton, 50%, leads Trump, 41%, […]

4/6: Sanders & Clinton Competitive Nationally

Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton are in a virtual dead heat in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination nationally.  Among Democrats and Democratic leaning independents, just two points separate Sanders, 49%, and Clinton, 47%. Sanders leads Clinton by two to one among Democrats and Democratic leaning independents who […]

4/6: McClatchy-Marist Poll

Will the Democratic Party unite behind the party’s eventual nominee?  What are the odds that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s supporters will back Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders if he wins the nomination?  What are the chances Sanders’ backers will throw their support behind Clinton if she becomes the nominee? Find out in the latest […]

3/13: Florida, Illinois, and Ohio Presidential Primaries

In the Republican presidential primary contests in Florida and Illinois, businessman Donald Trump exhibits continued strength in his bid for the GOP nomination.  Trump is also a strong second in Ohio behind the state’s popular governor, John Kasich.  On the Democratic side, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton outpaces Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders in Florida […]

3/6: In Michigan Trump and Clinton Have Wide Leads

In a poll conducted prior to Thursday’s GOP debate, businessman Donald Trump receives the support of 41% of likely Republican primary voters in Michigan including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or who voted by absentee ballot.  Texas Senator Ted Cruz, 22%, Florida Senator Marco Rubio, 17%, and Ohio Governor John Kasich, […]

2/19: Trump in Close Race in South Carolina… Clinton with Wide Lead

In the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Poll of South Carolina conducted after Saturday’s GOP debate, businessman Donald Trump, 28%, edges Texas Senator Ted Cruz, 23%, by only 5 points among likely Republican primary voters statewide including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or who voted by absentee ballot.  Last month, Trump […]

2/4: Sanders Outpaces Clinton in New Hampshire

Looking at the Democratic presidential contest in the first-in-the-nation primary state of New Hampshire, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, 58%, outdistances former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, 38%, among likely Democratic primary voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or who have voted absentee.  Sanders’ lead in the Granite State is virtually […]

1/30: The Enduring Value of Public Polls

By Dr. Lee M. Miringoff In this primary season the only conclusion that makes sense is that very little has made sense.  Rigorous, scientific public polls have provided a very useful road map.  As fellow pollster Gary Langer has commented: although public polls, the good and the bad, are often mixed together like champagne, cola, […]

1/28: Trump Leads in IA, NH, and SC… Clinton and Sanders Competitive in IA, Sanders up in NH, Clinton Leads in SC

First things first, in Iowa, both businessman Donald Trump and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders are banking on inspiring potential first time attendees to caucus.  In contrast, Texas Senator Ted Cruz and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton draw strength from voters who have been down this path before. The latest results in Iowa for the […]