4/6: Sanders and Clinton Competitive Nationally… Will the Party Unify?

Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton are in a virtual dead heat in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination nationally.  Among Democrats and Democratic leaning independents, just two points separate Sanders, 49%, and Clinton, 47%.

Sanders leads Clinton by two to one among Democrats and Democratic leaning independents who are under 45 years old.  Included here are 76% of those under 30, giving Sanders a 53 point lead over Clinton among this voting group.  Sanders also has a wide lead, about 30 points, over Clinton among Latino voters or independents.  He also does well among those who self-identify as very liberal or liberal.

Clinton outperforms Sanders by 26 points among Democrats and Democratic leaning independents who are 45 years of age or older or African American.  She has a 10 point lead over Sanders among Democrats.  Clinton and Sanders are competitive among both men and women as well Democrats who are white.

“The difference between support for Sanders and Clinton is generational,” says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion.  “Other distinctions blur when you account for a voter’s age.”

If Sanders wins the Democratic nomination, most of Clinton’s supporters, 79%, say they will back Sanders in the general election.  69% of Sanders’ supporters report they will back Clinton.

Complete April 6, 2016 McClatchy-Marist Poll of the United States

Marist Poll Methodology

Nature of the Sample and Complete Tables