NYC Mayor’s Race, May 2025

In the Democratic primary for New York City Mayor, Cuomo is the first choice of 37% of likely Democratic primary voters, including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate. Mamdani receives 18% to 9% for Adrienne Adams and 8% for Brad Lander. Four percent support Scott Stringer while 3% are for Zellnor Myrie. Jessica Ramos receives the backing of 2%, and 1% supports Whitney Tilson. Michael Blake receives less than one percent. 17% are undecided.

Cuomo does best among likely Democratic primary voters in the Bronx (50%). He receives 48% in Queens and the same proportion (48%) in Staten Island. In Manhattan, Cuomo receives the support of the plurality (32%). Cuomo and Mamdani each receive 25% in Brooklyn.

When calculating ranked choice voting round-by-round estimates, Cuomo receives 44% to 22% for Mamdani in the first round among likely Democratic primary voters (excluding undecided voters). Adams garners 11% to 10% for Lander. Stringer receives 5% while Myrie has 4%. Ramos receives 2% of the likely Democratic primary vote in the first round to 1% for Tilson and less than 1% for Blake.

Cuomo breaks the threshold in the fifth round where he receives 53% of likely Democratic primary voters (excluding undecideds). Mamdani gets 29%, and Lander has 18%.

A plurality of likely Democratic primary voters (46%) say they plan to vote in-person on primary day. 40% expect to cast their ballot at an early voting location. 10% say they will vote by mail or by absentee ballot, and 3% do not intend to vote.

About two in three likely Democratic primary voters are following the campaign for mayor very closely (25%) or closely (41%). About one in three are not following the race very closely (30%) or are not following it at all (4%).