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NYC Mayor’s Race, May 2025

Cuomo Breaks 50% in Fifth Round of Ranked Choice Voting

In the Democratic primary race for New York City Mayor, Andrew Cuomo is the first choice of nearly four in ten likely Democratic primary voters, including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate. Zohran Mamdani places second with all other candidates receiving single-digit support. When calculating ranked choice voting round-by-round estimates, Cuomo breaks the threshold in the fifth round, receiving 53%.

Cuomo Crosses Threshold
Round Five of Ranked Choice Voting
Marist Poll NYC Likely Democratic Primary Voters May 2025
  • In the Democratic primary for New York City Mayor, Cuomo is the first choice of 37% of likely Democratic primary voters, including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate. Mamdani receives 18% to 9% for Adrienne Adams and 8% for Brad Lander. Four percent support Scott Stringer while 3% are for Zellnor Myrie. Jessica Ramos receives the backing of 2%, and 1% supports Whitney Tilson. Michael Blake receives less than one percent. 17% are undecided.

  • Cuomo does best among likely Democratic primary voters in the Bronx (50%). He receives 48% in Queens and the same proportion (48%) in Staten Island. In Manhattan, Cuomo receives the support of the plurality (32%). Cuomo and Mamdani each receive 25% in Brooklyn.

  • When calculating ranked choice voting round-by-round estimates, Cuomo receives 44% to 22% for Mamdani in the first round among likely Democratic primary voters (excluding undecided voters). Adams garners 11% to 10% for Lander. Stringer receives 5% while Myrie has 4%. Ramos receives 2% of the likely Democratic primary vote in the first round to 1% for Tilson and less than 1% for Blake.

  • Cuomo breaks the threshold in the fifth round where he receives 53% of likely Democratic primary voters (excluding undecideds). Mamdani gets 29%, and Lander has 18%.

  • A plurality of likely Democratic primary voters (46%) say they plan to vote in-person on primary day. 40% expect to cast their ballot at an early voting location. 10% say they will vote by mail or by absentee ballot, and 3% do not intend to vote.

  • About two in three likely Democratic primary voters are following the campaign for mayor very closely (25%) or closely (41%). About one in three are not following the race very closely (30%) or are not following it at all (4%).

Marist Poll NYC Democratic Primary for Mayor Ranked Choice Voting

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