Connect with us

10/5: Kansas: Orman Leads Roberts in Senate Race… Brownback Fighting for Political Life

Featured

10/5: Kansas: Orman Leads Roberts in Senate Race… Brownback Fighting for Political Life

In the race for U.S. Senate in Kansas, independent candidate and businessman Greg Orman leads Republican incumbent Pat Roberts by 10 points among likely voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate.  Orman’s lead is bolstered by better than a two-to-one lead among independents likely to vote.

Voters’ impressions of incumbent Republican Roberts is upside down with nearly half of likely voters viewing him negatively.  In contrast, Orman is more positively viewed by likely voters and has lower negatives.

Turning to the contest for governor in Kansas, the Republican incumbent, Sam Brownback, faces a tough challenge from Democratic state legislator Paul Davis.  Davis, 44%, and Brownback, 43%, are neck and neck among Kansas likely voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate.

Both of these campaigns are taking place against a backdrop of dissatisfaction with elected officials in Washington.  Many Kansans are displeased with how the Republicans and Democrats are performing in office.  A majority also expresses frustration with President Barack Obama. 

Complete October 5, 2014 NBC News/Marist Poll of Kansas

“Kansas voters are facing an unusual and unexpected matchup in what has become a pivotal race for control of the U.S. Senate,” says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion.  “Fewer than half of likely voters are firmly committed to their choice, and nearly one in ten is still undecided.” 

Poll points:

  • Among Kansas likely voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate, 48% support Orman while 38% are for Roberts in the race for U.S. Senate in Kansas.  Libertarian candidate Randall Batson receives 5%, and 9% are undecided.
  • Orman, 57%, leads Roberts, 27%, by 30 points among independents likely to vote.  Independent Orman receives 16% of likely Republican voters while Republican Roberts garners only 8% of Democrats.
  • Only 43% of likely voters statewide with a candidate preference for U.S. Senate strongly support their choice.  40% are somewhat committed to their pick, and 14% might vote differently.  Among likely voters who back Orman, 48% are firmly in his corner.  40% of Roberts’ supporters are strongly committed to him.  While a plurality of likely voters with a candidate preference, 44%, say they are backing their candidate because they are for him, 49% are doing so because they are against his opponents.  53% of Roberts’ voters support him because they are for him while a majority of Orman’s backers, 55%, says they support Orman because they are against his opponents.
  • Among Kansas registered voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate, Orman has 46% to 36% for Roberts and 5% for Batson.
  • Roberts’ has high negatives.  37% of Kansas likely voters have a positive impression of him while 47% have a negative one.  Looking at likely voters’ opinions of Orman, 46% like him while 26% do not.
  • In the governor’s race in Kansas, Davis receives 44% to 43% for Brownback among Kansas likely voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate.  Libertarian Keen Umbehr has 4%.
  • While 78% of Republicans likely to vote support Brownback, and 85% of Democratic likely voters are for Davis, 49% of independents likely to vote back Davis compared with 34% for Brownback.
  • Looking at intensity of support in the governor’s contest, 55% of Kansas likely voters with a candidate preference are strongly committed to their selection, and 31% are somewhat behind their choice.  12% might vote differently.  Among Davis’ supporters, 59% strongly back him.  This compares with 55% of those who are for Brownback who express a similar level of commitment.
  • 52% of likely voters with a candidate preference for governor say they are supporting their candidate because they are for him.  This compares with 43% who report they plan to vote for their selection because they are against the other candidates in the race. 72% of Brownback’s supporters are for him while 60% of Davis’ backers say they are voting for him because they oppose the others.
  • Among Kansas registered voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate, 43% are for Davis, and 41% are for Brownback.  Five percent of registered voters support Umbehr.
  • 50% of likely voters statewide have an unfavorable opinion of Brownback while 41% have a positive one.  Only 30% of likely voters have a negative view of Davis, and 43% have a positive one.  A notable 27% have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him.
  • Brownback’s approval rating is also lopsided.  38% of Kansas residents approve of the job Brownback is doing as governor, and 49% disapprove.

High Level of Dissatisfaction with Elected Officials in Washington

At least a majority of Kansas residents are unhappy with the job President Obama and the Republicans and Democrats in Congress are doing.  Nearly seven in ten residents think the country is heading in the wrong direction.

Poll points:

Half Have Negative View of Obamacare

When it comes to residents’ views of Obamacare, more Kansans think it is a bad idea than a good one. 

Poll points:

  • 50% of Kansas residents consider Obamacare a bad idea.  This includes 43% who strongly have this opinion.  In contrast, 31% of adults statewide, including 21% who strongly have this view, believe the new health care law is a good idea.  20% have no opinion on the subject or are unsure.

Marist Poll Methodology

Nature of the Sample and Complete Tables

Print Friendly
15 Comments

15 Comments

  1. Pingback: Ted Cruz to launch Pat Roberts bus tour in Kansas | Times of News | Online breaking and Latest News From USA

  2. Pingback: Breitbart …… Really, Really Has A Thing For Kansas’ Roberts | suyts space

  3. Pingback: Red State Kansas Going Blue, Gov. Brownback Losing | Gloria Christie Reports

  4. Janeice Babiuch

    October 6, 2014 at 5:56 pm

    I would like to know what cities you surveyed for this poll.

  5. Pingback: Is Pat Roberts really 10 points behind in Kansas Senate race?The Washington Observer | The Washington Observer

  6. Pingback: New Polls: Orman Continues to Lead Roberts in Kansas Senate Race - The Next Stage

  7. Pingback: New Polls: Orman Continues to Lead Roberts in Kansas Senate Race | Statesman News Service

  8. Pingback: Is Pat Roberts really 10 points behind in Kansas Senate race?Breaking News Today | Breaking News Today

  9. Henry Kranz

    October 5, 2014 at 6:57 pm

    Wow, your Kansas poll is great! This is the first time I have been able to get an in-depth sense of what is happening in the Kansas Senate race. Thank you for your fine work.

  10. redware

    October 5, 2014 at 2:26 pm

    Message to the GOP-piss off your base and reap the rewards!

  11. Pingback: Greg Orman leads Sen. Pat Roberts by 10 points, poll shows | Five Dollar Army

  12. Pingback: Greg Orman leads Sen. Pat Roberts by 10 points, poll shows - The Washington Post

  13. Tina Rocha

    October 5, 2014 at 11:46 am

    Great job once again Republican Establishment. You don’t mind us Independent Conservatives supporting Mr. Orman do ya? Tuff. Apart from your conservative base we also gave you 2010 and what did we get for it? An extension of your own bomb throwing inside your own tent. I’m not aware of Mr. Orman calling any voter, let alone a conservative one, a domestic terrorist, wacko-bird, a racist and not wanting our fellow black citizens to vote which blew past disgusting into the bizarre let alone your previous winner, winner chicken dinner candidates with hits like Bob Dole, John McCain (twice) and Mr. “sure, help yourselves to the Republican fridge” Mitt Romney. We tried to communicate and all we got was “we’re going to burn you down” along with your buddies in the Chamber of Commerce. Nope, we’re now going to burn you down.

  14. Garry Allyn DeManty

    October 5, 2014 at 11:37 am

    Voters in Kansas must understand like it or not if they want to keep Harry Reid from running the US Senate for another term or more they dam well back Senator Roberts.Also if they want to have a voice in getting rid of Obama Care and getting the Keystone oil pipe line approve they better support someone who will vote for it.This will most likely be Senator Roberts last term in office so next time find soimeone else but dont bite your nose to spite your face .Republicans the last three election cycle have been stupid and had their chance for a majority in the US Senate go down the tube,dont let that happen again.

  15. Suzanne

    October 5, 2014 at 11:06 am

    Kansas voters are unhappy with Obama, hate ObamaCare, and Think Obama is taking the country in the wrong direction. So who will they vote for? The “Democrat in Independent’s Clothing!” Maybe Kansans need statewide therapy sessions for this mental illness!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

More in Featured

To Top