|   |
Michigan Likely Voters |
| Which one of the following candidates do you think has the best chance to beat President Obama: |
| Newt Gingrich |
Mitt Romney |
Rick Santorum |
Ron Paul |
None |
Undecided |
| Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
| Michigan Likely Voters |
8% |
51% |
24% |
4% |
4% |
9% |
| Party Identification** |
Republican |
9% |
53% |
23% |
3% |
2% |
11% |
| Independent |
7% |
49% |
25% |
6% |
5% |
7% |
| Tea Party Supporters |
10% |
44% |
32% |
3% |
3% |
9% |
| Intensity of Tea Party Support |
Strongly support Tea Party |
17% |
27% |
45% |
1% |
1% |
9% |
| Support Tea Party |
6% |
53% |
24% |
3% |
4% |
10% |
| Does not support Tea Party |
6% |
59% |
18% |
5% |
5% |
7% |
| Political Ideology |
Liberal-Moderate |
7% |
60% |
15% |
7% |
5% |
6% |
| Conservative |
8% |
53% |
26% |
2% |
2% |
9% |
| Very conservative |
10% |
33% |
38% |
2% |
4% |
14% |
| Political Ideology |
Liberal-Moderate |
7% |
60% |
15% |
7% |
5% |
6% |
| Conservative-Very conservative |
8% |
47% |
29% |
2% |
2% |
10% |
| Past Participation*** |
Yes |
8% |
51% |
25% |
3% |
3% |
10% |
| No |
9% |
50% |
21% |
9% |
5% |
6% |
| Republican Candidates |
Mitt Romney |
5% |
85% |
4% |
1% |
1% |
4% |
| Rick Santorum |
4% |
28% |
55% |
1% |
3% |
9% |
| Ron Paul |
4% |
46% |
15% |
24% |
4% |
7% |
| Newt Gingrich |
49% |
26% |
16% |
0% |
2% |
7% |
| Candidate Support |
Strongly support |
7% |
49% |
29% |
4% |
3% |
8% |
| Somewhat support |
7% |
63% |
19% |
4% |
3% |
4% |
| Might vote differently |
13% |
54% |
22% |
3% |
1% |
7% |
| Most Important Quality |
Shares your values |
8% |
40% |
33% |
4% |
4% |
11% |
| Is closest to you on the issues |
8% |
53% |
21% |
6% |
4% |
8% |
| Can beat President Obama in 2012 |
8% |
56% |
24% |
1% |
1% |
9% |
| Has the experience to govern |
6% |
67% |
14% |
5% |
2% |
6% |
| Gender |
Men |
9% |
52% |
26% |
4% |
3% |
6% |
| Women |
7% |
50% |
22% |
4% |
4% |
13% |
| Age |
Under 45 |
7% |
55% |
22% |
7% |
1% |
7% |
| 45 or older |
8% |
49% |
26% |
2% |
5% |
10% |
| Region |
Wayne County (Detroit) |
4% |
60% |
15% |
7% |
8% |
6% |
| Oakland and Macomb Counties |
6% |
51% |
25% |
3% |
6% |
9% |
| Lansing-Ann Arbor Area |
8% |
51% |
24% |
5% |
2% |
9% |
| Grand Rapids Area |
6% |
56% |
21% |
5% |
2% |
11% |
| North Central/Upper Peninsula |
14% |
39% |
30% |
3% |
3% |
11% |
| Household Income |
Less than $75,000 |
8% |
49% |
25% |
5% |
3% |
9% |
| $75,000 or more |
8% |
58% |
23% |
3% |
4% |
5% |
| Evangelical Christians |
8% |
49% |
28% |
2% |
4% |
10% |
| Mormons are Christians |
Yes |
8% |
58% |
22% |
3% |
2% |
8% |
| No-Unsure |
8% |
43% |
28% |
5% |
5% |
11% |
| Education |
Not college graduate |
9% |
46% |
25% |
5% |
3% |
12% |
| College graduate |
7% |
57% |
22% |
2% |
5% |
6% |
| Interview Type |
Landline |
8% |
50% |
25% |
3% |
4% |
9% |
| Cell Phone |
8% |
55% |
18% |
7% |
2% |
9% |
NBC News/Marist Poll Michigan Likely Republican Primary Voters. Interviews conducted February 19th and 20th, 2012, N=715 MOE +/- 3.7 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. **There are too few Democrats for analysis purposes ***Past participation refers to previous participation in a Michigan Republican Presidential Primary. |