| |
Iowa Potential Republican Electorate* |
| Tossup including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate |
| Newt Gingrich |
Mitt Romney |
Michele Bachmann |
Rick Santorum |
Jon Huntsman |
Ron Paul |
Rick Perry |
Undecided |
| Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
| Iowa Potential Republican Electorate* |
14% |
23% |
5% |
12% |
2% |
20% |
14% |
10% |
| Tea Party Supporters |
18% |
19% |
9% |
18% |
1% |
16% |
15% |
5% |
| Intensity of Tea Party Support |
Strongly support Tea Party |
22% |
15% |
13% |
22% |
0% |
12% |
11% |
5% |
| Support Tea Party |
16% |
21% |
7% |
16% |
1% |
17% |
17% |
5% |
| Does not support Tea Party |
12% |
26% |
2% |
8% |
3% |
23% |
14% |
12% |
| Political Ideology |
Liberal-Moderate |
11% |
26% |
2% |
5% |
4% |
26% |
13% |
13% |
| Conservative |
15% |
25% |
3% |
11% |
1% |
18% |
17% |
10% |
| Very conservative |
16% |
17% |
13% |
21% |
1% |
17% |
10% |
5% |
| Political Ideology |
Liberal-Moderate |
11% |
26% |
2% |
5% |
4% |
26% |
13% |
13% |
| Conservative-Very conservative |
15% |
22% |
7% |
15% |
1% |
18% |
14% |
8% |
| Past Participation** |
Yes |
12% |
22% |
6% |
15% |
1% |
17% |
16% |
10% |
| No |
15% |
23% |
4% |
9% |
2% |
23% |
12% |
10% |
| Candidate Support |
Strongly support |
14% |
23% |
8% |
16% |
2% |
23% |
14% |
0% |
| Somewhat support |
14% |
32% |
3% |
11% |
2% |
19% |
18% |
0% |
| Might vote differently |
22% |
21% |
5% |
12% |
3% |
25% |
13% |
0% |
| Most Important Quality |
Shares your values |
9% |
12% |
7% |
20% |
1% |
21% |
17% |
13% |
| Is closest to you on the issues |
9% |
24% |
7% |
8% |
2% |
33% |
13% |
4% |
| Can beat President Obama in 2012 |
18% |
35% |
4% |
10% |
1% |
10% |
15% |
7% |
| Has the experience to govern |
20% |
26% |
2% |
8% |
3% |
22% |
7% |
11% |
| Gender |
Men |
15% |
22% |
5% |
12% |
1% |
23% |
13% |
8% |
| Women |
11% |
24% |
5% |
12% |
3% |
17% |
15% |
13% |
| Age |
Under 45 |
13% |
20% |
5% |
10% |
3% |
25% |
13% |
10% |
| 45 or older |
14% |
24% |
5% |
14% |
1% |
18% |
14% |
9% |
| Age |
18 to 29 |
9% |
17% |
8% |
7% |
4% |
33% |
14% |
9% |
| 30 to 44 |
16% |
21% |
4% |
11% |
3% |
22% |
12% |
11% |
| 45 to 59 |
13% |
20% |
7% |
15% |
1% |
19% |
15% |
9% |
| 60 or older |
15% |
28% |
4% |
13% |
1% |
17% |
13% |
10% |
| Region |
Eastern Cities |
15% |
28% |
6% |
8% |
3% |
19% |
11% |
9% |
| East Central |
16% |
25% |
4% |
10% |
1% |
23% |
13% |
8% |
| Central |
9% |
23% |
5% |
13% |
1% |
22% |
17% |
10% |
| West |
17% |
17% |
5% |
15% |
3% |
18% |
13% |
12% |
| Household Income |
Less than $75,000 |
12% |
20% |
7% |
12% |
1% |
20% |
18% |
9% |
| $75,000 or more |
18% |
28% |
4% |
9% |
2% |
23% |
7% |
10% |
| Evangelical Christians |
10% |
17% |
7% |
20% |
1% |
16% |
20% |
10% |
| Mormons are Christians |
Yes |
12% |
30% |
4% |
10% |
3% |
22% |
12% |
8% |
| No-Unsure |
15% |
14% |
7% |
15% |
1% |
18% |
17% |
13% |
| Education |
Not college graduate |
14% |
21% |
6% |
11% |
2% |
21% |
16% |
9% |
| College graduate |
14% |
26% |
3% |
13% |
3% |
19% |
10% |
12% |
| Interview Type |
Landline |
14% |
23% |
6% |
13% |
2% |
18% |
13% |
10% |
| Cell Phone |
12% |
21% |
4% |
10% |
2% |
26% |
16% |
9% |
NBC News/Marist Poll Iowa Potential Republican Electorate. Interviews conducted December 27th and 28th, 2011, N=884 MOE +/- 3.3%. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
*The potential Republican electorate in Iowa includes all Republicans and voters planning to participate in the Republican presidential caucus.
**Past participation refers to previous participation in an Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus. |
