| |
Iowa Potential Republican Electorate* |
| Tossup including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate |
| Newt Gingrich |
Mitt Romney |
Michele Bachmann |
Rick Santorum |
Jon Huntsman |
Herman Cain |
Ron Paul |
Rick Perry |
Undecided |
| Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
| Iowa Potential Republican Electorate* |
25% |
18% |
5% |
4% |
2% |
9% |
16% |
9% |
11% |
| Tea Party Supporters |
31% |
13% |
5% |
6% |
2% |
13% |
16% |
9% |
6% |
| Intensity of Tea Party Support |
Strongly support Tea Party |
39% |
7% |
6% |
10% |
1% |
14% |
14% |
6% |
4% |
| Support Tea Party |
26% |
16% |
5% |
3% |
2% |
13% |
18% |
10% |
7% |
| Does not support Tea Party |
21% |
23% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
6% |
17% |
10% |
15% |
| Political Ideology |
Liberal-Moderate |
14% |
22% |
5% |
2% |
3% |
9% |
18% |
13% |
13% |
| Conservative |
32% |
19% |
4% |
4% |
2% |
8% |
16% |
7% |
10% |
| Very conservative |
29% |
10% |
9% |
6% |
0% |
12% |
14% |
9% |
11% |
| Past Participation** |
Yes |
25% |
19% |
5% |
7% |
1% |
9% |
18% |
7% |
9% |
| No |
25% |
18% |
5% |
1% |
2% |
9% |
15% |
12% |
13% |
| Candidate Support |
Strongly support |
28% |
20% |
4% |
4% |
2% |
10% |
24% |
7% |
0% |
| Somewhat support |
28% |
20% |
6% |
5% |
2% |
14% |
13% |
12% |
0% |
| Might vote differently |
26% |
23% |
5% |
4% |
3% |
7% |
18% |
13% |
0% |
| Most Important Quality |
Shares your values |
15% |
14% |
7% |
7% |
1% |
13% |
17% |
12% |
14% |
| Is closest to you on the issues |
22% |
14% |
5% |
4% |
2% |
9% |
23% |
10% |
10% |
| Can beat President Obama in 2012 |
39% |
26% |
4% |
3% |
3% |
9% |
8% |
3% |
5% |
| Has the experience to govern |
30% |
23% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
5% |
12% |
12% |
13% |
| Gender |
Men |
27% |
17% |
3% |
5% |
1% |
11% |
18% |
9% |
8% |
| Women |
22% |
19% |
7% |
3% |
2% |
7% |
14% |
10% |
16% |
| Age |
Under 45 |
20% |
15% |
5% |
5% |
2% |
12% |
22% |
9% |
11% |
| 45 or older |
29% |
21% |
5% |
3% |
2% |
7% |
12% |
10% |
12% |
| Age |
18 to 29 |
11% |
15% |
6% |
6% |
3% |
3% |
31% |
13% |
11% |
| 30 to 44 |
26% |
15% |
4% |
4% |
1% |
19% |
14% |
6% |
10% |
| 45 to 59 |
28% |
18% |
5% |
4% |
2% |
9% |
14% |
11% |
9% |
| 60 or older |
30% |
24% |
4% |
2% |
2% |
6% |
10% |
8% |
15% |
| Region |
Eastern Cities |
28% |
20% |
5% |
7% |
1% |
8% |
18% |
7% |
7% |
| East Central |
20% |
17% |
2% |
2% |
3% |
15% |
15% |
13% |
13% |
| Central |
25% |
21% |
4% |
4% |
3% |
8% |
16% |
7% |
10% |
| West |
26% |
14% |
8% |
3% |
0% |
7% |
16% |
11% |
15% |
| Household Income |
Less than $75,000 |
23% |
16% |
6% |
5% |
3% |
10% |
17% |
9% |
10% |
| $75,000 or more |
32% |
21% |
4% |
3% |
1% |
7% |
15% |
8% |
9% |
| Evangelical Christians |
29% |
15% |
7% |
6% |
1% |
11% |
10% |
10% |
12% |
| Mormons are Christians |
Yes |
25% |
23% |
6% |
3% |
2% |
8% |
15% |
9% |
9% |
| No-Unsure |
24% |
13% |
4% |
5% |
1% |
11% |
18% |
10% |
14% |
| Education |
Not college graduate |
23% |
17% |
7% |
3% |
2% |
9% |
17% |
11% |
12% |
| College graduate |
28% |
20% |
2% |
5% |
2% |
9% |
16% |
7% |
11% |
| Follow College Football |
A great deal-A good amount |
26% |
22% |
2% |
3% |
2% |
9% |
15% |
11% |
9% |
| A little-Not at all |
23% |
15% |
7% |
4% |
2% |
9% |
17% |
9% |
14% |
| Interview Type |
Landline |
28% |
19% |
5% |
4% |
1% |
10% |
13% |
9% |
12% |
| Cell Phone |
18% |
17% |
4% |
5% |
3% |
7% |
23% |
11% |
11% |
NBC News/Marist Poll Iowa Potential Republican Electorate. Interviews conducted November 27th through 29th, 2011, N=916 MOE +/- 3.2%. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
*The potential Republican electorate in Iowa includes all Republicans and voters planning to participate in the Republican presidential caucus.
**Past participation refers to previous participation in an Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus. |
