|
Iowa Likely Caucus-Goers |
Tossup including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate and Cain supporters' second choice |
Newt Gingrich |
Mitt Romney |
Michele Bachmann |
Rick Santorum |
Jon Huntsman |
Ron Paul |
Rick Perry |
Undecided |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Iowa Likely Caucus-Goers |
28% |
19% |
7% |
6% |
2% |
19% |
10% |
9% |
Tea Party Supporters |
37% |
13% |
8% |
7% |
2% |
19% |
9% |
6% |
Intensity of Tea Party Support |
Strongly support Tea Party |
44% |
6% |
10% |
12% |
1% |
18% |
7% |
2% |
Support Tea Party |
32% |
18% |
6% |
4% |
2% |
19% |
10% |
9% |
Does not support Tea Party |
21% |
27% |
4% |
3% |
3% |
21% |
11% |
10% |
Political Ideology |
Liberal-Moderate |
13% |
24% |
6% |
4% |
4% |
23% |
14% |
12% |
Conservative |
37% |
21% |
5% |
5% |
1% |
16% |
7% |
8% |
Very conservative |
34% |
11% |
13% |
7% |
0% |
19% |
9% |
7% |
Past Participation** |
Yes |
28% |
19% |
7% |
7% |
1% |
20% |
8% |
9% |
No |
28% |
19% |
8% |
2% |
4% |
18% |
13% |
8% |
Candidate Support |
Strongly support |
34% |
20% |
6% |
5% |
2% |
25% |
8% |
0% |
Somewhat support |
30% |
23% |
9% |
7% |
2% |
16% |
14% |
0% |
Might vote differently |
24% |
21% |
8% |
8% |
4% |
24% |
11% |
0% |
Most Important Quality |
Shares your values |
20% |
14% |
9% |
11% |
0% |
21% |
12% |
12% |
Is closest to you on the issues |
25% |
17% |
6% |
4% |
2% |
26% |
11% |
8% |
Can beat President Obama in 2012 |
40% |
25% |
8% |
4% |
4% |
8% |
4% |
6% |
Has the experience to govern |
36% |
26% |
3% |
2% |
3% |
12% |
12% |
6% |
Gender |
Men |
32% |
17% |
7% |
7% |
1% |
20% |
11% |
6% |
Women |
24% |
21% |
8% |
4% |
3% |
18% |
9% |
12% |
Age |
Under 45 |
25% |
16% |
8% |
8% |
2% |
25% |
10% |
7% |
45 or older |
32% |
21% |
6% |
4% |
2% |
15% |
10% |
10% |
Age |
18 to 29 |
13% |
13% |
9% |
9% |
3% |
29% |
12% |
12% |
30 to 44 |
34% |
19% |
8% |
6% |
0% |
21% |
8% |
4% |
45 to 59 |
30% |
19% |
6% |
5% |
2% |
17% |
13% |
8% |
60 or older |
33% |
24% |
7% |
3% |
3% |
12% |
6% |
12% |
Region |
Eastern Cities |
28% |
21% |
5% |
7% |
1% |
25% |
8% |
4% |
East Central |
28% |
19% |
7% |
4% |
3% |
17% |
12% |
10% |
Central |
30% |
22% |
7% |
6% |
3% |
18% |
8% |
7% |
West |
28% |
14% |
9% |
5% |
0% |
18% |
13% |
14% |
Household Income |
Less than $75,000 |
27% |
16% |
9% |
8% |
3% |
19% |
10% |
7% |
$75,000 or more |
34% |
22% |
4% |
4% |
1% |
18% |
9% |
8% |
Evangelical Christians |
34% |
14% |
10% |
8% |
1% |
13% |
13% |
7% |
Tea Party-Conservative-Evangelical |
39% |
11% |
12% |
10% |
0% |
16% |
9% |
3% |
Mormons are Christians |
Yes |
26% |
24% |
7% |
5% |
3% |
19% |
9% |
7% |
No-Unsure |
31% |
13% |
7% |
7% |
1% |
19% |
11% |
11% |
Education |
Not college graduate |
24% |
17% |
11% |
5% |
2% |
20% |
13% |
9% |
College graduate |
33% |
20% |
4% |
7% |
2% |
19% |
7% |
9% |
Follow College Football |
A great deal-A good amount |
30% |
20% |
5% |
5% |
2% |
18% |
12% |
7% |
A little-Not at all |
27% |
18% |
9% |
6% |
2% |
20% |
8% |
11% |
Interview Type |
Landline |
31% |
21% |
8% |
5% |
1% |
16% |
9% |
9% |
Cell Phone |
23% |
15% |
5% |
7% |
4% |
26% |
12% |
10% |
NBC News/Marist Poll Iowa Likely Republican Caucus-Goers. Interviews conducted November 27th through 29th, 2011, N=425 MOE +/- 4.8%. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. **Past participation refers to previous participation in an Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus. |