5/5: NYS Voters Say, “No,” to Candidate Trump

NY1/YNN/Marist New York State Poll

Speculation of a presidential candidacy by businessman Donald Trump runs high.   But, do New York State voters want “The Donald” to announce his candidacy?  Most voters do not want Mr. Trump to seek the presidency.  Three in four voters — 75% — hold this view while 24% want Trump to become a candidate.  Only 2% are unsure.

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Most Democrats — 82% — and non-enrolled voters — 74% — do not want Trump to throw his proverbial hat into the ring.  About two-thirds of Republicans — 66% — also agree.

“Donald Trump hasn’t crossed the threshold of credibility with New York State voters,” says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion.  “He’s slightly less of a turn-off to Republicans.  But even among GOPers, about two-thirds don’t want him to run.”

Trump isn’t the only local who New York voters hope will abstain from seeking the presidency.  76% of voters statewide do not want former New York State Governor George Pataki to challenge President Obama in 2012.  19% would like to see him make a bid for the office, and 5% are unsure.

New York State voters also aren’t pressing New Jersey Governor Chris Christie to run for president in 2012.  About two-thirds — 66% — think Christie should sit along the presidential sidelines while 17% believe he should join the contest.  17% are unsure.

New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg does not fare much better.  64% of New York State voters want Bloomberg to stay off the national presidential stage while 28% want him to step into the spotlight.  Eight percent are unsure.

It’s a similar story for Bloomberg’s predecessor, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani.  60% of voters believe Giuliani’s 2008 presidential run was enough while 37% want “America’s Mayor” to give a presidential run another go around.  Three percent are unsure.

Although a majority of New York Republicans do not want Pataki, Christie, and Bloomberg to run, they divide about a bid by Giuliani.

Table: Donald Trump 2012 Presidential Run
Table: George Pataki 2012 Presidential Run
Table: Chris Christie 2012 Presidential Run
Table: Michael Bloomberg 2012 Presidential Run
Table: Rudy Giuliani 2012 Presidential Run

New York’s Favorite Son Rules Republican Roost Statewide

The field of possible 2012 Republican presidential candidates is wide.  But, given the choice, about one in four New York State Republican voters — 23% — report they would back former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani and one in five — 20% — say they would support former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney.  Here is how the field stands among these Republican voters:

  • 23% for former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani
  • 20% for former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney
  • 12% for former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin
  • 10% for former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee
  • 7% for Businessman Donald Trump
  • 7% for Texas Congressman Ron Paul
  • 3% for former Georgia Congressman Newt Gingrich
  • 2% for Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty
  • 2% for Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels
  • 2% for Businessman Herman Cain
  • 1% for Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann
  • 1% for former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum
  • Fewer than 1% for former U.S. Ambassador to China Jon Huntsman
  • Fewer than 1% for former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson
  • 10% are undecided

Table: 2012 Republican Presidential Primary (New York State)

NY1/YNN-Marist Poll Methodology