October 30, 2010
10/30: New York Senate Race
According to this Marist Poll, Democrat Chuck Schumer has a wide lead over Republican Jay Townsend in the race for U.S. Senate in New York. Schumer leads Townsend by 24 percentage points among likely voters including early voters and those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate.
Charles Schumer and Jay Townsend
Schumer garners 60% to 36% for Townsend. This data was collected from Tuesday, October 26, 2010 through Thursday, October 28, 2010 with five days until Election Day.
Click Here for Complete October 30, 2010 NY U.S. Senate Marist Poll Release and Tables
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|
New York: U.S. Senate Likely Voters |
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| Question: If next week’s election for U.S. Senate in New York State were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: [If undecided: If you had to decide today, are you leaning more towards:] | ||||
|
Schumer |
Townsend |
Other |
Undecided |
|
| NY LV Oct. 30, 2010 |
60% |
36% |
1% |
3% |
| NY LV Oct. 22, 2010 |
63% |
35% |
1% |
1% |
| Party Registration | ||||
| Democrat |
87% |
10% |
<1% |
3% |
| Republican |
28% |
68% |
2% |
2% |
| Non-enrolled |
54% |
36% |
4% |
6% |
| October 30, 2010 Marist Poll New York Likely Voters including early voters and those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate N= 415 MOE +/- 5%. Totals may not add to 100 due to rounding. | ||||
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Key Findings:
- Schumer leads Townsend among likely voters by a very wide margin in New York City and has majority support over Townsend in both the suburbs of New York City and upstate.
- 75% of voters who are likely to vote in New York strongly support their choice of candidate for this race. 80% of Schumer’s supporters are firmly behind him while a majority of Townsend’s — 65% — strongly back him.
- 64% of likely voters view Schumer favorably while 32% have a lesser opinion of him. 38% of likely voters have a positive perception of Townsend. 30% do not. He is unknown to 32%.
- 55% of registered voters approve of the job Chuck Schumer is doing in the U.S. Senate.
- Schumer leads Townsend by 38 percentage points among all registered voters in New York. Schumer receives 66% to 28% for Townsend among the statewide electorate.
New York U.S. Senate – Gillibrand/DioGuardi: Solid Democrat
Kirsten Gillibrand and Joe DioGuardi
In the race for U.S. Senate in New York between Kirsten Gillibrand and Joe DioGuardi, Gillibrand has a 15 percentage point lead among likely voters including early voters and those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate. Gillibrand nets 55% to 40% for DioGuardi. This Marist Poll data was collected from Tuesday, October 26, 2010 through Thursday, October 28, 2010 with five days still to go before Election Day.
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|
New York: U.S. Senate Likely Voters |
||||
| Question: If next week’s election for U.S. Senate in New York were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: [If undecided: If you had to decide today, are you leaning more towards:] | ||||
|
Gillibrand |
DioGuardi |
Other |
Undecided |
|
| NY LV Oct. 30, 2010 |
55% |
40% |
1% |
4% |
| NY LV Oct. 22, 2010 |
56% |
38% |
1% |
5% |
| Party Registration | ||||
| Democrat |
80% |
14% |
<1% |
6% |
| Republican |
26% |
71% |
1% |
2% |
| Non-enrolled |
51% |
45% |
1% |
3% |
| October 30, 2010 Marist Poll New York Likely Voters including early voters and those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate N= 415 MOE +/- 5%. Totals may not add to 100 due to rounding. | ||||
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Key Findings:
- Nearly two-thirds of likely voters in New York City support Gillibrand. She has a slim majority in the suburbs of New York City and upstate.
- 65% of voters who are likely to vote in New York strongly support their choice of candidate in this contest, up from 57% in Marist’s previous survey. The intensity of support for DioGuardi’s candidacy among his backers has risen. 68% of likely voters who support him say they firmly do so. This is up from 54% previously. 63% of Gillibrand’s supporters are strongly committed to her. 59% reported the same in Marist’s earlier poll.
- Gillibrand is viewed favorably by 56% of likely voters. 36% perceive her unfavorably. DioGuardi is thought highly of by 45% of likely voters. 31% view him unfavorably. He is unknown to 24% of this state’s electorate.
- 36% of registered voters rate Gillibrand’s job performance as U.S. Senator as either excellent or good.
- Among registered voters statewide, the margin between the candidates is wider than it is among those likely to cast their ballot. Gillibrand receives the support of 55% of registered voters statewide to 32% for DioGuardi.
- 45% of registered voters in New York State approve of President Barack Obama’s job performance.
- Half of registered voters in New York — 50% — think we’ve turned the corner and the nation’s economic problems are behind us. 45% say the worst of the nation’s economic problems are yet to come.
- 63% of registered voters think President Obama inherited today’s economic conditions from the previous administration. 32% say the economy is a result of Obama’s own policies.
About The Marist Poll’s Methodology:
Telephone numbers were selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to turnout in comparable elections. In an effort to increase coverage, this land-line sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers. The land-line and cell phone samples were then combined.
Complete Marist Poll Methodology
Related Marist Poll Releases:
10/22: NY U.S. Senate Race: Schumer Leads Townsend by 28 Percentage Points Among Likely Voters