search

8/15: Clinton Strong in Colorado, North Carolina, and Virginia, Up in Florida

In the race for the White House, Democrats Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine are ahead of Republicans Donald Trump and Mike Pence in the battleground states of Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia. Clinton has made her largest gains in Colorado where Clinton, 46%, leads Trump, 32%, by 14 points among registered voters statewide.  This […]

7/15: Clinton Up in Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia

Presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton is ahead of presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump by single digits in the battleground states of Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia.  With 9 electoral votes on the line in Colorado, 29 in Florida, 15 in North Carolina, and 13 at stake in Virginia, Clinton has the early edge.  In […]

10/26: North Carolina: Hagan and Tillis Tied in U.S. Senate Race

In the contest for U.S. Senate in North Carolina, Democratic incumbent Kay Hagan, 43%, and her Republican challenger and state legislator Thom Tillis, 43%, are in a dead heat among North Carolina likely voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or have voted early.  Six percent are undecided, and 6% of […]

10/5: North Carolina: Hagan Edges Tillis in Competitive U.S. Senate Race

In North Carolina, Democrat Kay Hagan is trying to fend off her Republican challenger and state legislator Thom Tillis in the race for U.S. Senate.  Among likely voters statewide including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate and those who have voted early or by absentee ballot, Hagan receives 44% to 40% for […]

9/27: Obama and Romney Neck and Neck in North Carolina

President Barack Obama and Vice President Joe Biden — 48% — are in a close contest with Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan — 46% — among likely voters in North Carolina, including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee.  Only one percent backs another candidate, and 5% are undecided. “This […]

6/28: Obama and Romney in Close Contest in North Carolina

President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney are competitive in the presidential contest in North Carolina.  Among registered voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate, 46% support Obama while 44% favor Romney.  One percent backs another candidate, and 9% are undecided. “In 2008, President Obama narrowly edged out John McCain in the […]

Time for a (Generational) Change?

Most of the top elected officials in Washington are old. Much older than the average age of their constituents. Just take a look: Chuck Schumer 71, Joe Biden 79, Mitch McConnell 80, and Nancy Pelosi 82. Although Americans continue to vote for older politicians, in public opinion polls, they say they want younger representation. According […]

7/18: Beyond the Bounce

By Dr. Lee M. Miringoff The GOP and Democratic political conventions are finally upon us.  They will be scored by the media for tone and how well each side makes its case to Americans.  No sooner will the gavel end these proceedings for campaign 2016, then those of us in the public opinion community will […]

11/5: On Election Eve…

By Dr. Lee M. Miringoff When it comes to public opinion polls, this election cycle has had more shoot the messenger reactions than ever before.  There’s little doubt that pollsters are  in season for October and November. Maybe this results from the growing twitter-sphere. I can’t recall the number of times I’ve had to explain […]

6/27: From the Survey to the Trail

By Dr. Lee M. Miringoff Sure. Early public polls both national and state are open to the charge of not being predictive.  National polls carry the added burden of not necessarily reflecting the electoral college state-by-state vote. Now, if you don’t want to be a public poll-tracker but are interested in the ups and downs […]