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Americans are stressed out!

In our September 30th national poll, more than 18 months after the pandemic started, 77% of Americans were either as or more stressed despite a majority being vaccinated and COVID infections and deaths dropping nationwide ... Read Now >

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12/19: McClatchy-Marist Poll

Should the popular vote replace the Electoral College in determining the winner of future presidential elections?  Find out voters’ views in the latest national McClatchy-Marist Poll.

Click here to read the full McClatchy story.

12/16: McClatchy-Marist Poll

How do American voters think Melania Trump will perform as the nation’s next first lady?  Find out in the latest national McClatchy-Marist Poll.

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12/15: McClatchy-Marist Poll

Do Americans think their personal family finances will improve in the coming year?  Find out in the latest national McClatchy-Marist Poll.

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12/13: McClatchy-Marist Poll

Are American voters giving President-elect Donald Trump a political honeymoon?  How do they rate him on his transition into office?  Do they think he is moving the nation in a better direction?  Do they have confidence in his ability to carry out many of the key components of the presidency?  Are Americans concerned about President-elect Trump’s temperament?  Find out in the latest national McClatchy-Marist Poll.

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12/13: McClatchy-Marist Poll

What do American voters think of President-elect Donald Trump’s use of social media?  Do Americans think social media sites such as Twitter and Facebook have a responsibility to stop the sharing of false information?  Find out in the latest national McClatchy-Marist Poll.

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12/13: McClatchy-Marist Poll

What will President Barack Obama’s legacy be?  Americans share their views in the latest national McClatchy-Marist Poll.

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11/9: Closing the Chapter on 2016

The Marist Poll would like to congratulate the hundreds of students who took part in Marist polls over the last eighteen months. Their talent, dedication, and hard work contributed to The Marist Poll’s ability to weave an accurate and informative narrative about campaign 2016.

When so many other polls ran into difficulty measuring this unprecedented contest, The Marist Poll continues to be the gold standard in public opinion research. In fact, the final McClatchy-Marist Poll of the United States was spot on!

The McClatchy-Marist Poll predicted a close and competitive contest:
NATIONAL:
Election results: Clinton +.7
Poll: Clinton +1

As Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion noted in that final McClatchy-Marist Poll, “Although Clinton and Trump are separated by the slimmest of margins, the Electoral College can present a very different picture. Close popular votes can, but do not necessarily, translate into tight battles for 270 electoral votes.”

The election was upended with FBI Director James Comey’s letter to Congress further investigating Clinton’s use of a private email server. And, The NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Poll identified the profound shift in public opinion. The final three NBC News/Wall Street
Journal/Marist Polls showed:
ARIZONA:
Election results: Trump +4
Poll: Trump +5

GEORGIA:
Election results: Trump +5.9
Poll: Trump +1

TEXAS:
Election results: Trump +9
Poll: Trump +9

Once again, The Marist Poll staff and students demonstrated why they are the most energetic and astute polling team in the nation.

Thanks to all who made this possible!

Lee & Barbara

 

11/2: Passing the Baton

By Dr. Lee M. Miringoff

My class this semester on “The Presidential Campaign of 2016” at Marist College is a group of talented and enthusiastic undergraduates bringing their fresh perspective to voting, this unprecedented presidential election, and the state of American democracy.  It warms the political scientist side of my heart to interact with this current, idealistic, imaginative, and global-reaching generation of students which is about to inherit a messy and cynical world.

But, the pollster in me knows that voters throughout the United States are frustrated by the gridlock in government and discouraged by a presidential campaign that has sunk to the lowest common denominator.  Regardless of whether Trump or Clinton wins the White House, they will be the most unpopular president to take office that we have ever had.

This year’s story began with the primaries during which each party had to deal with a strong anti-establishment candidate.  It is said that Republicans typically fall in line and Democrats fall in love.  Well, in 2016, the GOP has been slow to fall in line behind Donald Trump, and the candidate with whom Democrats fell in love is not their nominee.  So, voters in both parties have had to drop down on their wish list, and for many it has been a tough pill to swallow.

To make matters even more difficult for voters in 2016, there are ongoing issues of corruption and money swirling around the Clinton candidacy. And, among many other concerns, the GOP candidate claims the election is rigged, and he may not accept the results of the people’s vote on Election Day unless he wins.  The boundaries of political dialogue have certainly been stretched this year.

Elections are supposed to be about issues, policies, and a mandate to move government forward.  Who would seriously argue that this campaign has been remotely issue focused?   Who would legitimately claim that the winner can make a strong case for moving the country in a specific policy direction?  Will there be enough of a kick from voters so that Washington moves away from the gridlock that has increasingly characterized our politics?

I became a political scientist and public opinion pollster because of my faith in public opinion, and a belief voiced many decades ago by V.O. Key that voters make the right decision if presented with accurate information.  During my lifetime (starting with my high school years during the tragedies of 1968 and my first vote for president as a college student in 1972), much of what makes the American experiment unique in the history of civilization has eroded. This time, so much more is being threatened.

It is not only government and elections that are under the microscope.  The institutions of religion, education, corporate business, the media, and others are taking their lumps, as well.

In class, I am eager to reference Abraham Lincoln’s comment that public opinion is the only legitimate sovereign in a democracy.  I hope the millennial generation pushes us baby boomers aside and works to restore the element to our democracy with which we have seemed to have lost touch.  It’s really the only path to a better future.

Lee M. Miringoff is Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion and is a faculty member of the Political Science Department at Marist College.

9/23: McClatchy-Marist Poll

With just days until the first presidential debate, where does the contest stand among likely voters nationally?  Find out in the latest national McClatchy-Marist Poll.

To read the full McClatchy article, click here.

8/4: McClatchy-Marist Poll

Where does the presidential contest stand nationally?  Find out in the latest national McClatchy-Marist Poll.

To read the full McClatchy article, click here.