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Poll Hub: The States or The STATES?


Poll Hub: The States or The STATES?

If the Electoral College determines the Presidency, why is so much attention still given to national polls?

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In this episode of Poll Hub, Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion and Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho, Director of The Marist College Poll, discuss with political journalist and tech entrepreneur Jay DeDapper, the poll’s decision to go into the three Rust Belt States that helped put President Donald Trump over the top in the 2016 election.

According to the latest NBC News/Marist Polls of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, President Trump is having difficulty in the states that made the difference for him last November.  In each of these battleground states, the president’s job approval ratings stand in the 30’s.

The Poll Hub experts drill down into these numbers and discuss how Trump is doing among his Republican base and white working class voters who were the key to his 2016 victory.

Plus, the Poll Hub crew puts on their “poll geek” hats to discuss the importance of a question which asks whether people are proud or embarrassed by President Trump’s conduct.  They also tackle the query about whether the Rust Belt or the Sun Belt will be the key to the 2020 presidential election.

But first, polling after tragedy.  Pollsters face a dilemma when a national tragedy or natural disaster, such as Hurricane Harvey, hits the United States.

The Poll Hub team discusses the responsibility pollsters have to measure public opinion in the wake of these incidents, how they handle the need to be sensitive, and the technical challenges that arise from these crises.  As only the premiere pollsters in the industry can do, Drs. Miringoff and Carvalho look back on the tough decisions they had to make when going into the field following Hurricane Katrina, Super Storm Sandy, and the 9/11 terrorist attacks.

8/20: Return to the Rust Belt: Dismal Job Approval Ratings for Trump in Michigan, Pennsylvania, & Wisconsin

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