4/13: Campaign 2013: No Clear Democratic Front-runner in NYC Mayoralty

April 13, 2010 by  
Filed under Featured, NYC, NYC Poll Archive, Politics

Three years is a lifetime in politics, but if the 2013 Democratic primary for mayor were held today, 18% of registered Democrats would support Congressman Anthony Weiner.  Former Comptroller Bill Thompson follows closely behind with 15% of the vote.  And, City Council Speaker Christine Quinn receives the support of 12%.  10% of the city’s Democrats report they would back Public Advocate Bill de Blasio. Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz Jr. and Comptroller John Liu each garners 9% of the vote. More than a quarter of New York City Democrats — 27% — are undecided.

Voter puts ballot in ballot box.

©istockphoto.com/ericsphotography

“There are plenty of potential candidates for 2013, but no clear front-runner,” says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. “With a long way to go, it’s not surprising that ‘undecided’ best reflects the outlook of Democratic voters at this time.”

Table: 2013 Democratic Primary for Mayor

Click Here for Complete April 13, 2010 NYC Poll Release and Tables

The Kelly Question

What if New York City Police Commissioner Ray Kelly decided to run as the Republican candidate for mayor?  How would he fare against the Democrats’ top contenders?

When pitted against Congressman Anthony Weiner, Weiner receives a majority of registered voters in New York City — 52% — to Kelly’s 33%.  15% are unsure.

New York’s top cop does better when matched up against City Council Speaker Christine Quinn and former Comptroller Bill Thompson.  In the hypothetical contest against Quinn, she receives 45% of the vote to Kelly’s 37%.  18% are undecided.

And, Kelly receives a similar proportion of the vote when he and Thompson face off.  Here, 45% of voters citywide say they would support Thompson while 36% would back Kelly.  19% are unsure.

Table: 2013 Mayor’s Race — Kelly/Weiner
Table: 2013 Mayor’s Race — Kelly/Quinn
Table: 2013 Mayor’s Race — Kelly/Thompson

Marist Poll Methodology

Comments

3 Responses to “4/13: Campaign 2013: No Clear Democratic Front-runner in NYC Mayoralty”

  1. Extras on April 13th, 2010 6:33 pm

    [...] no clear frontrunner for the 2012 mayor’s race, although Rep. Anthony Weiner outpolls ex-Comptroller Bill [...]

  2. Sean the Politico on April 13th, 2010 9:29 pm

    I forgot if the picture used on this post is the federal court house new York state supreme court house, I’m sure its not New York City Hall as captioned and obviously marketed by istockphoto.com

  3. Anthony Weiner and Eliot Spitzer test how forgiving New York voters are | Harry J Enten | Financier Times – Business News & Financial News on July 8th, 2013 5:04 pm

    [...] last poll in 2011 before Weinergate had the then congressman with a slim single-digit lead in the mayoral primary. That tends to match up with the last poll of his aborted 2009 run. Weiner’s net favorable [...]

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