10/30: Washington State U.S. Senate: Tossup

October 30, 2010 by  
Filed under Elections 2010, Featured, Politics

According to this McClatchy-Marist Poll, Democrat Patty Murray and Republican Dino Rossi are in a virtual dead heat in the race for U.S. Senate in Washington State.

Patty Murray and Dino Rossi

Patty Murray and Dino Rossi

Murray has 49% among likely voters including early voters and those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate to Rossi’s 48%.  This data was collected from Tuesday, October 26, 2010 through Thursday, October 28, 2010 with still five days to go until Election Day.

Click Here for Complete October 30, 2010 WA McClatchy-Marist Poll Release and Tables

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Washington State: U.S. Senate Likely Voters

Question: If next week’s election for U.S. Senate in Washington State were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: [If undecided: If you had to decide today, are you leaning more towards:]

Murray

Rossi

Other

Undecided

WA LV Oct. 30, 2010

49%

48%

2%

1%

WA LV Oct. 20, 2010

48%

47%

<1%

5%

Party ID
Democrat

95%

5%

<1%

<1%

Republican

5%

95%

<1%

<1%

Independent

42%

51%

4%

3%

October 30, 2010 McClatchy-Marist Poll Washington State Likely Voters including early voters and those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate N= 638 MOE +/- 4%. Totals may not add to 100 due to rounding.

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More Republicans than Democrats Enthusiastic to Vote

A majority of registered voters are enthusiastic about voting on Tuesday.  Republicans and conservatives are more enthusiastic than Democrats and liberals about casting their ballot.  Although 56% of Rossi backers and 51% of Murray supporters are very enthusiastic, there has been a narrowing in the gap from McClatchy-Marist’s previous poll.  At that time, 58% of voters for Rossi and 43% of Murray backers expressed a high level of enthusiasm.

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Washington:  Those Very Enthusiastic to Vote 2010

Question: Thinking about next week’s elections overall, would you say you are very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all about voting in the elections next week?

October 30, 2010

October 20, 2010

WA Registered Voters

51%

49%

Party ID

Democrat

52%

48%

Republican

62%

59%

Independent

44%

44%

Tea Party Supporters

64%

72%

Enthusiasm of Candidates’ Supporters

Voters for Murray

51%

43%

Voters for Rossi

56%

58%

October 30, 2010 McClatchy-Marist Poll Washington State Registered Voters including early voters N= 838 MOE +/- 3.5%.  Totals may not add to 100 due to rounding.

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Key Findings:

  • 48% of registered voters approve of the job President Barack Obama is doing in office.  Obama’s approval rating has changed little since McClatchy-Marist’s previous survey.  Obama carried Washington State by 17 percentage points two years ago.
  • Nearly half of registered voters in Washington State — 49% — think we’ve turned the corner and the nation’s economic problems are behind us.  41% say the worst of the nation’s economic problems are yet to come.  In McClatchy-Marist’s previous survey, voters divided with 44% saying the worst was behind us and the same proportion — 44% — reporting the worst is still ahead.  Voters who are pessimistic about the economy and believe it will get worse are more likely to vote Republican.  Those who are more optimistic and believe the worst is behind us are more likely to vote Democratic.
  • 61% of registered voters think President Obama inherited today’s economic conditions from the Bush years.  30% say the economy is a result of Obama’s policies.
  • Nearly nine in ten likely voters strongly support their choice of candidate.  87% of Murray supporters and 85% of Rossi supporters firmly back their pick.  Voters’ intensity of support is up from McClatchy-Marist’s previous survey.
  • Although 49% of likely voters have a favorable impression of Murray and 46% perceive Rossi well, both have high negatives.  44% of likely voters have a poor impression of Murray while 46% assess Rossi unfavorably.
  • Among all registered voters in Washington State, Murray takes 47% to Rossi’s 44%.  In mid-October, Murray received 47% to Rossi’s 42%.

About The McClatchy-Marist Poll’s Methodology:

Telephone numbers were selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to turnout in comparable elections. In an effort to increase coverage, this land-line sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers. The land-line and cell phone samples were then combined.

Complete Marist Poll Methodology

Related McClatchy-Marist Poll Releases:

10/20: WA U.S. Senate Race: Murray and Rossi in Virtual Dead Heat

Comments

One Response to “10/30: Washington State U.S. Senate: Tossup”

  1. Hominid Views » Blog Archive » Marist Poll: Murray 49%, Rossi 48% on October 30th, 2010 2:42 pm

    [...] new Marist poll has been released in the race between Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA) and real estate wheeler-dealer Dino [...]

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