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10/30: New York Governor: Solid Democrat

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10/30: New York Governor: Solid Democrat

Among likely voters including early voters and those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate, Democrat Andrew Cuomo has a 19 percentage point lead over Republican Carl Paladino in the race for Governor in New York.

Andrew Cuomo and Carl Paladino

Andrew Cuomo and Carl Paladino

Cuomo receives 56% to Paladino’s 37%.  This Marist Poll data was collected from Tuesday, October 26, 2010 through Thursday, October 28, 2010 with 5 days until Election Day.

Click Here for Complete October 30, 2010 NY Governor Marist Poll Release and Tables

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New York: Governor

Question: If next week’s election for Governor in New York State were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: [If undecided: If you had to decide today, are you leaning more towards:]

Cuomo

Paladino

Other

Undecided

NY LV Oct. 30, 2010

56%

37%

3%

4%

NY LV Oct.  22, 2010

60%

37%

1%

2%

Party Registration
Democrat

84%

12%

1%

3%

Republican

23%

67%

6%

5%

Non-enrolled

49%

42%

6%

4%

October 30, 2010 Marist Poll New York Likely Voters including early voters and those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate N= 415 MOE +/- 5%. Totals may not add to 100 due to rounding.

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Democrats Close Enthusiasm Gap

41% of registered voters are very enthusiastic about voting in Tuesday’s elections.  Although Democrats enjoy a wide party enrollment advantage in New York State, up until now, Republicans were far more enthusiastic about voting than Democrats.  But, that’s no longer the case.  46% of Republicans and 43% of Democrats currently have a high level of enthusiasm.

In the previous Marist survey, 53% of Republicans were very enthusiastic about voting on Election Day to 39% for the Democrats.

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New York:  Those Very Enthusiastic to Vote 2010

Question: Thinking about next week’s elections overall, would you say you are very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all about voting in the elections next week?

October 30, 2010

October 22, 2010

NY Registered Voters

41%

43%

Party Registration
Democrat

43%

39%

Republican

46%

53%

Non-enrolled

33%

35%

Tea Party Supporters

58%

60%

Enthusiasm of Candidates’ Supporters
Voters for Cuomo

36%

37%

Voters for Paladino

54%

57%

October 30, 2010 Marist Poll New York Registered Voters including early voters N= 805 MOE +/- 3.5 %.  Totals may not add to 100 due to rounding.

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Key Findings:

  • Andrew Cuomo leads Carl Paladino among likely voters by a very wide margin in New York City and has a double-digit lead in the suburbs of New York City.  Cuomo and Paladino are closely matched upstate.  Cuomo also leads Paladino by more than two-to-one among women, but among men, the contest is tight.
  • 69% of those who are likely to vote in New York strongly support their choice of candidate.  More Cuomo supporters — 77% — compared with Paladino backers — 58% — are firmly committed to their choice of candidate.
  • Cuomo is viewed favorably by 57% of likely voters statewide while 38% perceive him unfavorably.  Paladino is seen favorably by 31% of likely voters while 63% have a negative impression of him.
  • 73% of registered voters view Cuomo as fit to be governor.  21% do not.  32% perceive Paladino as fit to hold this office.  59% do not.
  • Among all registered voters in New York, Cuomo takes 62% to Paladino’s 28%.
  • 58% of registered voters rate the job Attorney General Andrew Cuomo is doing in office as excellent or good.
  • 17% of registered voters in New York State view the job Governor David Paterson is doing in office as excellent or good.  This matches Paterson’s lowest approval rating since he assumed office.
  • 78% of registered voters think the state is headed in the wrong direction.

About The Marist Poll’s Methodology:

Telephone numbers were selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to turnout in comparable elections. In an effort to increase coverage, this land-line sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers. The land-line and cell phone samples were then combined.

Complete Marist Poll Methodology

Related Marist Poll Releases:

10/22: Cuomo Opens Up Big Lead Over Paladino

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