10/26: South Dakota: Rounds with Wide Lead in U.S. Senate Race… Daugaard Trounces Wismer in Governor’s Contest

October 26, 2014 by  
Filed under Featured, National, National Poll Archive, Politics

In the race for U.S. Senate in South Dakota, Republican Mike Rounds, 43%, is out in front of Democrat Rick Weiland, 29%, and independent Larry Pressler, 16%, among likely voters including those who are undecided or have voted early.  A majority of likely voters who support Pressler, 56%, reports their second choice is Weiland, and most Weiland backers, 72%, say their backup candidate is Pressler.

Republican Governor Dennis Daugaard, 67%, outdistances his Democratic challenger and state legislator Susan Wismer, 28%, among likely voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or have voted early.  With a favorable rating of 70%, Daugaard is popular among the likely electorate.  Wismer, however, is not well-known to a plurality of likely voters.

Complete October 26, 2014 NBC News/Marist Poll of South Dakota

“Rounds is benefitting from a multi-candidate field,” says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion.  “Although Rounds has a double-digit lead, there are still undecided voters, and the possibility for some shuffling of support between Weiland’s and Pressler’s supporters.”

Poll Points U.S. Senate:

  • Rounds, 43%, leads Weiland, 29%, and Pressler, 16%, among likely voters in the U.S. Senate race including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or have voted early.  Independent Gordon Howie has the support of 3%, and 7% are undecided.
  • Looking at party, more than twice as many Democrats, 10%, support the Republican Rounds, than the proportion of Republicans, 4%, who back Weiland, the Democrat.  There is little consensus among independents likely to vote.  Rounds has 32%, 31% are for Pressler, and 22% for Weiland.
  • 63% of likely voters with a candidate preference including early voters are firmly committed to their choice of candidate for U.S. Senate.  Similar proportions of Rounds’, 70%, and Weiland’s backers, 66%, are firmly in their respective candidate’s camp.  48% of Pressler’s supporters express a strong level of support to him.
  • 10% of likely voters with a candidate preference say they might vote differently come Election Day.  17% of Pressler’s backers, 8% of Weiland’s supporters, and 6% of Rounds’ backers might vote differently.
  • Among likely voters with a candidate preference excluding early voters, Pressler is the second choice candidate of 43%.  18% select Weiland while 10% choose Rounds.  Weiland is the second choice of a majority of Pressler’s backers, 56%. And, Pressler is the second choice of most of Weiland’s supporters, 72%.  The plurality of Rounds’ backers, 44%, says Pressler is their second choice.
  • Majorities of likely voters have a favorable impression of Rounds, 52%, and a positive view of Pressler, 52%.  46% think well of Weiland.
  • Among registered voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or have voted early, Rounds, 43%, leads Weiland, 28%, and Pressler, 16%.  Four percent are for Howie.
  • When it comes to the issue crucial in deciding their vote for Congress, 25% of likely voters cite breaking the partisan gridlock in Washington.  Social Security and Medicare, 15%, the deficit and government spending, 14%, health care, 13%, and job creation and economic growth, 12%, also rate.  Seven percent mention military action against ISIS, while immigration is noted by 3%.  Looking out for the interests of women receives 2%.

Poll Points Governor:

  • In the contest for South Dakota governor, Daugaard, 67%, outpaces Wismer, 28%, among likely voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or have voted early.
  • Most Republican likely voters rally behind Daugaard.  However, Wismer only receives 68% of Democrats likely to cast a ballot.  29% of Democrats cross party lines and support Daugaard.
  • 67% of likely voters with a candidate preference including early voters strongly support their choice of candidate for South Dakota governor.  69% of Daugaard supporters and 61% of Wismer’s backers say they will not waver in their support for their candidate.  Five percent of likely voters with a candidate preference might vote differently.
  • Daugaard, 67%, has a commanding lead over Wismer, 26%, among registered voters in South Dakota including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or have voted early.
  • Daugaard enjoys a high favorable rating, 70%.  Wismer is unfamiliar to 43% of likely voters.  Wismer’s favorable score is 31%, and her negative rating is 25%.
  • 32% of adults in South Dakota approve of the job President Barack Obama is doing in office.  A majority, 56%, disapproves.

Marist Poll Methodology

Nature of the Sample and Complete Tables

Comments

2 Responses to “10/26: South Dakota: Rounds with Wide Lead in U.S. Senate Race… Daugaard Trounces Wismer in Governor’s Contest”

  1. New round of Senate polling shows encouraging signs for GOP - The Washington Post on October 27th, 2014 10:28 am

    [...] — South Dakota: Republicans spent big here to save former governor Mike Rounds (R), and it looks like it's worked: Rounds leads former Senate aide Rick Weiland (D) 43 percent to 29 percent, with former Sen. Larry Pressler (I) coming in a distant third at 16 percent. Gov. Dennis Daugaard (R) leads by a whopping 39 percent margin over state Rep. Susan Wismer (D). Reid Wilson covers state politics and policy for the Washington Post's GovBeat blog. He's a former editor in chief of The Hotline, the premier tip sheet on campaigns and elections, and he's a complete political junkie. [...]

  2. Democrat Weiland accuses own party of trying to sink him in South Dakota - The Washington Post on October 27th, 2014 5:47 pm

    [...] Senatorial Committee, Rounds has appeared to regain the advantage he held for most of the year. An NBC News/Marist poll released Sunday shows Rounds leading Weiland 43 percent to 29 percent, with Pressler lagging behind [...]

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